Russia’s war on Ukraine has had a significant impact on the countries of Central Asia, including shifting their relationships with Russia and China and reshaping their internal political and economic dynamics. Although these countries have maintained close relations and economic ties with Russia, they have not endorsed its war. Instead, Central Asian states are seeking to rebalance their foreign relations, including by strengthening ties to the West. At the same time, Russia has increased its pro-war propaganda in the region while China is trying to increase its own engagement there.
Sanctions against Russia and Russian businesses fleeing the war have affected economies in the region, in some cases promoting regional growth. Central Asian migrant workers, whose remittances from Russia have been crucial to the GDPs of their home countries, are increasingly finding other host countries. Nevertheless, the region remains economically and socially fragile. Meanwhile, there are rampant human rights abuses and growing concerns about terrorism following the participation of Tajik nationals in the 2024 Crocus City Hall terrorist attack.
