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Moldova’s European Future

Members

Mr. Stephen Nix

Senior Director for Eurasia, International Republican Institute

Dr. Donald N. Jensen

Senior Advisor for Russia and Europe, United States Institute of Peace

Dr. Stephen Blank

Senior Fellow, Foreign Policy Research Institute

On October 20, the Republic of Moldova faced a dual-measure ballot: presidential elections alongside a constitutional referendum to authorize accession to the European Union. Despite systemic disinformation, intimidation, and vote-buying campaigns perpetrated by Russian security services, the Moldovan resolve to secure a European future carried the referendum. Two weeks later, Moldova affirmed this commitment to Western democracy by re-electing incumbent President Maia Sandu in the second-round runoff.

These are watershed developments for Moldova, where the Sandu administration has striven to decouple from Russian energy, trade, diplomatic, and defense institutions. Although self-determination and pro-EU support prevailed in this election cycle, addressing vulnerability to hybrid Russian interference will be a key priority before next year’s parliamentary elections.

This briefing will analyze the results of the election and referendum, their impact on Moldova’s pursuit of a European future, and explore strategies to consolidate Moldovan democracy against Russian malign interference.

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