Baltic Security after the Warsaw NATO Summit

In the wake of NATO decisions to send significant rotational forces to the Baltic States and Poland to deter Russian aggression, the Helsinki Commission convened a briefing to examine the fluid Baltic security environment.

Helsinki Commission staff member Alex Tiersky opened the briefing by recalling the Helsinki Final Act principles (such as territorial integrity and inviolability of borders) that have been challenged in Europe in recent years, with worrying potential implications for the Baltic states in particular. Karl Altau provided a Baltic-American perspective on the concerns faced by NATO's eastern flank and the seriousness with which the countries concerned take their NATO commitments. Michael Johnson summarized RAND's wargame-based research demonstrating the extent of the Baltic States' vulnerability to potential Russian aggression in the absence of significantly enhanced NATO presence in the region. Magnus Nordenman recalled the relevance of the region to U.S. geopolitical interests and described the potential implications for other regional players in any Russian aggression, as well as the capabilities they potentially could bring to bear.

In the subsequent exchange of views moderated by the Helsinki Commission's Scott Rauland, representatives from the Baltic embassies in Washington, D.C., voiced their governments' commitments to a common defense, NATO, and continued cooperation with the United States.